TennisMom wrote:Root, there sure is a lot of information out there on Google. I found this:
Conversely, Prentky, Lee, Knight, and Cerce (1997) found that over a 25-year period, child molesters had higher rates of reoffense than rapists. In this study, recidivism was operationalized as a failure rate and calculated as the proportion of individuals who were rearrested using survival analysis (which takes into account the amount of time each offender has been at risk in the community). Results show that over longer periods of time, child molesters have a higher failure rate—thus, a higher rate of rearrest—than rapists (52 percent versus 39 percent over 25 years).
http://www.csom.org/pubs/recidsexof.html
Actually I was referring to this statement:
“Violent offenders should be removed forever. The rate of recidivism is high for these people and we are only giving them second chances upon release.”
This implies that violent offenders have a higher rate of recidivism than non-violent offenders. The study that I quoted from shows the opposite. I did look for others but mostly what I found where studies that used a very limited geography or were more opinion pieces based on isolated incidences than factual studies.
I think that it could be the case that the perception that violent offenders having a high rate of recidivism is caused by the media sensationalizing the cases where there is violent recidivism. Then politicians play on these stories in an effort to garner the “get tough on crime” vote. Then laws are passed to increase punishment, regardless whether there are any facts concerning the effectiveness of rehab. or that the increased punishments actually reduce recidivism.
I don’t mean any disrespect to the victims or yourself. Of course any cases of violent crime, whether it is a case of recidivism or not are regrettable and we should take prudent action to avoid them. My request is for factual information to clarify whether the reality is different from the perception.

